Oh the Scary, Scary Debt. Is Obama to Blame?

The Economist has put together an interactive graphic showing public debt worldwide. While it’s fun and colorful and interesting to play with, it’s also a visual illustration of the state of the world’s economies, especially all the developed countries with massive debt.

If you’re an African country (other than Zimbabwe, whose money is basically fictional) your per capita debt is quite low. Because if you live in an African country, you are receiving very few benefits from the government. And your country has no credit rating to finance a debt splurge. The developed nations, on the other hand, are credit maxed to the hilt. All of them, not just the US.

Obama Had Help
It seems that Obama, while he has made some unwise decisions like proposing a massively expensive healthcare overhaul during a nasty recession, or bailing out failed enterprises including auto companies and badly run banks like so much crack to crackheads, he is mostly the victim of bad timing. Republican antipathy toward Obama is misplaced for the most part. Every conversation I’ve witnessed degenerates into “Obama’s socialist policies are spending us into hell,” followed by, “Well, Bush caused the problem in the first place with an unnecessary war and no bank regulation.”

Truth is, both are accurate. Developed nations have been living like there’s an infinite tomorrow and no limits to what the great machine of capitalism can achieve. Our country is experiencing a massive let-down. For many, the bitterness is transparent. They thought the gravy train would eventually reach their lives. Now, the gravy’s gone and people are pissed.

Good News, Bad News on Economic Recovery
One bit of good news is that Americans are awesomely responsible when they need to be. According to the AP, the personal savings rate “fell steadily from 9.59 percent in the 1970s to 2.68 percent in the easy-money era from 2000 to 2008; from 2005 to 2007, it averaged 1.83 percent. Today, that trend is in reverse. From April to June, Americans’ personal savings rate was 5 percent, and it could go higher if the unemployment rate keeps rising.”

The bad news is that the machine needs capital to churn out GDP growth. Banks are keeping more and refusing to lend (good news for recovery, bad news for business and consumers) despite all those bailout dollars. And unemployment is creeping higher as a result.

Can the US Stay on Top?
One huge question when I look at all the debt represented in the graphic is to whom is all the debt owed? And of course, the answer is to each other, so what does that mean? Here’s where my understanding of global finance breaks down. Naively, I assume that it will all work itself out since everyone owes money to everyone else, therefore, can’t we all just call it roughly even? Fact is, the answer could be radically different. Maybe when all the debt is accounted for, new countries will be left at the top of the heap. Like China. Or India. And the US will be left struggling under a burden caused by too many years of fiscal irresponsibility.

This is where we need to take President Obama to task. Yes, he is the victim of bad timing. The bottom line is, blame can’t fix the economy and reduce the debt. Fiscal responsibility will. Our leaders need to rein in the spend-like-there’s-no-tomorrow habit. A weakness of democracy is the constant chasing after public popularity. When times call for painful policies, Congress and the President need to see past the short term pain and lack of popularity and do what’s right for the country. The country needs to stop expecting handouts and do its part, too.

And About that Healthcare Reform…
A final note, if healthcare reform really does have cost control as its main thrust, I’m for it. If healthcare reform has more coverage to more people as its goal, we can’t afford it. Right now, the message is that both goals are covered. I’m having trouble buying that.

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September 9, 2009 | Filed Under Great Recession, Sustainable Economy 

Comments

One Response to “Oh the Scary, Scary Debt. Is Obama to Blame?”

  1. John on September 12th, 2009 8:45 pm

    I’m not a progressive or a liberal; I am a conservative. I NEVER agree with progressives, but I believe you have done a fine and fair job in your analysis within this article. Thank you for honestly having periferal vision.

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